Paid Subscriber – Risk Off is back in control – Model Portfolios lose some ground – Update 06/08/26

How likely is the SpaceX stock price to close higher than the IPO price in 1 month?

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• Quant Weekly – Up over 58% since June 2025

• Quant 30 – Up over 67% since June 2025

• Legacy – Up over 400% since April 2023

• Changes to the Quant Portfolios

• Top Quant Stocks – Consumer Discretionary

• Education – How likely is the SpaceX stock price to close higher than the IPO price in 1 month?

• Quick Links – at the bottom of the Post

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USA Stock market week ending 06/05/26

Major Index Performance (Weekly)

• The S&P 500 (SPY) declined -2.5% from the close of 06/01/26 through the close of 06/05/26, ending the week lower after a broad-market pullback.

• The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DIA) slipped -0.2%, making it the most resilient of the four major indexes during the week.

• The Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) fell -4.7%, posting the largest decline among the major U.S. indexes.

• The Russell 2000 (IWM) dropped -3.0%, reflecting weakness across the small-cap segment of the market.

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Market Drivers this Week (06/08/26 – 06/12/26)

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• Monday 6/08 — China trade data could influence industrial, materials, and export-related stocks as investors assess global demand trends.

• Tuesday 6/09 — NFIB Small Business Optimism and Wholesale Inventories are released. After the close, Oracle (ORCL) reports earnings, with investors focused on cloud and AI growth.

• Wednesday 6/10 — CPI is the week’s biggest economic report and could significantly impact interest-rate expectations and market sentiment. The Bank of Canada also announces its rate decision.

• Thursday 6/11 — PPI, Weekly Jobless Claims, and the ECB rate decision headline a busy day of economic data and central-bank news. SpaceX prices its IPO.

• Friday 6/12 — University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment provides an updated look at consumer confidence and inflation expectations. SpaceX stock starts trading.

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The CNN Fear and Greed Index ends the week at 42 back in the Fear area after seven weeks in the Greed area. It looks like risk off has returned, at least for a time.

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The Quant Model Portfolios all lost ground last week along with nearly all momentum stocks as risk off regains control in the stock market. Momentum stocks lead the markets up and lead the markets down. Nothing new here. Stay patient!